On behalf of the Millennium Project of the American Council for the United Nations University, we have the honor to invite you to participate in the third phase of an international study to construct alternative global energy scenarios to the year 2020.
During the first phase, the Millennium Project's staff produced an annotated bibliography of global energy scenarios and related reports. This was used to design a Delphi questionnaire that collected judgments and some 3,000 comments from about 150 participants on potential developments that might affect the future of the global energy situation. These results were used to construct draft scenarios. Your views are invited to make these working draft scenarios more plausible and useful. They are for your review only and not for circulation, as they are rough working drafts.
The results of all three phases of this international study will be published in the 2006 State of the Future. Complimentary copies will be sent to those who respond to this questionnaire. No attributions will be made, but respondents will be listed as participants.
The working draft of the scenarios available for your review are:
- Scenario
1: "The Skeptic" (a Business as Usual Scenario)
- Scenario
2: "Environmental Backlash" (explores potential futures resulting
from environmental backlashes from nature and the environmental movement)
- Scenario
3: "Technology Pushes Off the Limits to Growth"
- Scenario
4: "Political Turmoil" (exploring potential implications of political
instability)
For your convenience,
for each scenario draft there are two formats:
- an on-line version (to be--filled out online)
- a standard Word (.doc) version (downloadable file to be filled out off-line
and then emailed as per the instructions)
Please submit your views by March 25, 2006 by answering this online form, or by downloading the Word version and then e-mail it back to Elizabeth Florescu acunu@igc.org with a copy to jglenn@igc.org and tedjgordon@worldnet.att.net.
The Millennium Project is a global participatory system that collects, synthesizes, and feeds back judgments on an ongoing basis about prospects for the human condition. Its annual State of the Future, Futures Research Methodology, and other special reports are used by decision-makers and educators around the world to add focus to important issues and clarify choices.
We look forward to including your views in the final construction of these scenarios.
Best regards,
Jerome C. Glenn, Director, AC/UNU Millennium Project
Theodore J. Gordon, Senior Fellow, AC/UNU Millennium Project
Survey conducted by the ACUNU Millennium Project http://acunu.org