AC/UNU Millennium Project
International Assessment of Inspiring Goals for 2050
- Round 2 -



Invitation
The questionnaire

Invitation

On behalf of the Millennium Project of the American Council for the United Nations University, we have the pleasure to invite you to participate in the second and final round of an international assessment of inspiring goals for the year 2050.

During the first round 26 audacious goals that might inspire cooperation to make a better world were rated by the international panel. The results of Round 1 are available for your further consideration. You are also asked to rate additional goals suggested in Round 1. These were condensed from over 100 suggestions.

The results of this international assessment will be published in the 2002 State of the Future. Previous editions have been used by policymakers and educators around the world. The project developed a normative scenario for 2050. While reference to this scenario is not necessary to answer this questionnaire, it might provide useful information; the scenario is available at: http://www.acunu.org/millennium/normscen.html.

No attributions will be made, but respondents will be listed as participants in the 2002 State of the Future. A complimentary copy will be sent to all those who respond to the enclosed questionnaire. It is not necessary to answer every question, just provide your judgments about those that match your expertise and interest.

The Project is funded by the sponsors listed below, with additional funding for this particular study from the Foresight and Governance Project of the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars in Washington, D.C. The Woodrow Wilson Center will conduct a workshop based on the results of this study May 20-21. Hence, to have your views included in this session, please return your responses by 16 May 2002.

Please respond by e-mail to acunu@igc.org with a copy to jglenn@igc.org and Tedjgordon@worldnet.att.net or fax to +1-202-686-5179 or airmail to: The Millennium Project, American Council for the United Nations University, 4421 Garrison St. NW, Washington, DC 20016, USA. Please include your name, institutional affiliation and title, along with your address (where the 2002 State of the Future should be mailed) and e-mail addresses and fax number.

We look forward to including your views.

Sincerely yours,

Jerome C. Glenn, Director, AC/UNU Millennium Project
Theodore Gordon, Senior Fellow, AC/UNU Millennium Project


Questionnaire
International Assessment of Inspiring Goals for 2050
Round 2

Section 1. The goals below were rated by: a) importance, defined as the ability to improve the future for all, inspire global cooperation, and help other goals to occur; b) acceptability, defined as the likelihood that at least one leader of government will eventually adopt the goal and commit the resources to achieve it; and c) possibility, defined as the likelihood that the goal will be achieved by the year 2050. The full list of goals and ratings from Round 1 is provided at the end of the questionnaire for your information.

1.1   The goals below were rated the most important and likely to be acceptable to government leaders, but the likelihood of their achievement was rated relatively low.
How can the likelihood of achieving these goals by the year 2050 be improved?
 
Goal for the year 2050
Who should provide the leadership to create the political will to get the goal accepted?  How might that be done? What has to happen to make these goals achievable by 2050?
Establish economic systems that work for all (e.g., ends hunger and poverty)  
End organized crime  
Eliminate virtually all corruption in government  

1.2 The goals below were rated as highly important, more easily acceptable to government leaders, and have a high likelihood of success.
What will make us ready to move on these now?
 
 
Goal for the year 2050
What is the strategy to commit to this goal?  Who has to make what decisions?
Provide clean and abundant energy  
End water shortages and water pollution  
Eliminate all major infectious and inherited diseases  

Section 2. Please rate the following goals suggested in Round 1 for their importance, acceptability, and the possibility of achieving the goal by the year 2050. For perspective, remember that the goal to land a man on the moon was only a ten?year goal; this study is exploring fifty?year goals.
Please use the following scales:

Importance
5 = among most important on the list
4 = of great importance
3 = important
2 = of little importance
1 = of no importance

Acceptability
5 = absolutely
4 = very likely
3 = likely
2 = unlikely
1 = unacceptable

Possibility of achievement
5 = virtually certain
4 = very possible
3 = possible
2 = little possibility
1 = impossible

Newly suggested Goals for the year 2050:
Goal Importance Acceptability Possibility
1 Create permanent civic mechanisms for deliberation, monitoring, and evaluation of the performance of the state and its officials      
2 Achieve gender-parity in all major decision-making systems      
3 Ratification and implementation of all major UN treaties and Summit action plans      
4 Catalog and preserve the world’s species diversity      
5 Establish world government      
6. End slavery      
7 Effective union of science and religion acknowledged by majority      
8 World peace insured by an improved UN      
9. Provide universal health care for all      
10 Establish a global system to review science and technology directions and impacts      
11 Provide universal on-line education for all      
12 Eliminate all land mines      
13 Create a system for the co-existence among of cyborgs, artificial life, and natural life       
14 Normalize international pursuit of key technologies to benefit humanity in a manner similar to the Human Genome Project       
15 Create a fully integrated human/brain/computer merger      
16 Nearly zero emissions and nearly full recycling in production      
17 Reinforce values that lead to consciousness and mental development eventually passing material growth as primary human activity      
18 End Hunger      

Comments:
 
 

Thank you for your participation.

Please return this questionnaire via e-mail to acunu@igc.org with a copy to jglenn@igc.org and Tedjgordon@worldnet.att.net or fax to +1-202-686-5179 or airmail to: The Millennium Project, American Council for the United Nations University, 4421 Garrison St. NW, Washington, DC 20016, USA.Please include your name, institutional affiliation and title, along with your address (where the 2002 State of the Future should be mailed) and e-mail addresses and fax number.

Results of Round 1


Current Sponsors: Applied Materials, Deloitte & Touche, General Motors, U.S. Army Environmental Policy Institute, and the U.S. Department of Energy (Office of Science). Inkind: Smithsonian Institution and the Embassy of Cape Verde


Millennium Project home page